The rapid growth of the biofuels industry has played a part in increasing demand for corn and soybeans. But are biofuels to blame for world hunger? Not so much.
Higher commodity prices have been a boon to Iowa grain farmers, raising farm income and raising the hopes of a new generation of farmers. But just as these farmers begin to enjoy a rare profitable period in agriculture, it's beginning to rain on their parade.
Mainstream news media outlets have begun trumpeting the view that the use of corn to make ethanol is somehow causing food shortages around the globe. Higher prices for everything at the grocery store have caused a lot of folks to look for a scapegoat, and biofuels are an easy target.
The argument certainly makes sense on the surface: Doritos must be expensive because the market price of corn is high. But it's just not that simple.
While the new demand created by ethanol plants has caused a tightening of corn supplies, there are many, many other worldwide factors at play that have caused inflation of food prices.
The largest factor causing such inflation may be the hungry masses in rapidly developing nations in Asia who have found themselves for the first time with a little extra spending money. The newly moneyed Chinese are gobbling up food at a pace unheard of just a few years ago. Now that these folks are enjoying a higher standard of living, their diets are expanding accordingly. It's putting pressure on agriculture all around the world to step up the pace of production.
A major drought and crop failure in Australia last year is another factor that caused global wheat supplies to tighten significantly. Wheat prices skyrocketed as a result, and it will take a big wheat crop this year to make up the difference.
Global market prices for corn, soy oil, wheat and rice are all much higher than they were just one year ago. But these commodities are not alone. Crude oil prices are near record highs, as well. Really, everything is more expensive, from food to fiber to fuel.
Patrick Packnett, assistant deputy administrator of global analysis for the U.S. Department of Agriculture, said just this week that ethanol is not a major factor causing food price inflation. In an article published Wednesday on DTN Ag News, Packnett is quoted saying: "Someone needs to set the record straight. People are looking for an easy target when they blame ethanol for raising food prices, but there are many other factors at play, and ethanol isn't even the major issue."
Packnett notes that global prices for rice are at the highest levels since 1980. Rice is grown only in particular climates on specific types of land. Rice and corn do not compete for the same acres, and nobody's making ethanol out of rice.
A weak U.S. dollar may also have a lot to do with inflation of food prices. The economic policies of the Bush administration have been great for U.S. exporters, but maybe not so great for everybody else.
It's important to remember that commodity grain prices make up only a fraction of the final price of a food product. A recent American Farm Bureau Federation study showed that the value of corn that is used to make a box of corn flakes is less than a nickel. Maybe with inflation since that time, that value has risen to 10 cents or so. That's something to consider when you look at the price tag on these products at the grocery store. Grain prices make a difference in consumer food prices, but according to that study, only a very slight difference.
The solution to food shortages lies in expanding production to meet the new demand. This is an achievable goal, which can be met by embracing more efficient and environmentally-friendly methods in agriculture, and also by investing into the research and development of technologies that will increase yields.
World hunger is a complicated issue, and there are many culprits. But let's not all jump on the bandwagon to blame the relatively small biofuels industry for a global problem that is really caused by many other factors.