[Commentary] In a decade and a half of covering Iowa politics, there are some things I’ve taken as given.
Chief among them: a pro-choice Republican is like a fully clothed exotic dancer in a strip club. People in the room will grudgingly respect her, but when it comes to handing out the dollars, they want to see skin.
Similarly, social-cons need to hear the right words on abortion before parting with their caucus votes.
But may see a reversal of fortune in 2008 with former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani. Based on several high-profile reports this morning hizzoner is going to shelve the equivocation routine on abortion and run as a pro-choice Republican, which is empirically admirable because that’s what he is.
In so doing he’s banking on the larger more moderate states, with their earlier-than-usual primary dates, to come through for him.
He’s not writing off Iowa, either, and he shouldn’t.
There is something many Republicans hate more than the thought of another dead fetus: a live Hillary in the White House.
Giuliani, with his authoritarian approach to leadership, his calls to increase the size of the military, can remarkably overcome an abortion position that insiders and casual observers alike have long thought unthinkable for an Iowa winner.
When pundits say Rudy is done in Iowa, don’t be so quick to dial the florist for condolence flowers.
He can still do well in Iowa and South Carolina.
Anyone who listened to hizzoner’s speech and the reaction to it at The Citadel in South Carolina last weekend knows this is true. The media is allowing Giuliani to create a latter-day Churchill image — and no one cares what old Winston throught about abortion.
Moreover, conservatives have a long track record of hypocrisy for the sake of electoral expediency. Just ask Dick Cheney to reconcile the GOP’s 2004 national strategy with his own daughter's lesbian parenting.